Crypto Currency

Bitcoin sinks, XRP, ADA, DOGE dip as Trump stirs recession fears amid rising trade conflict

Key Takeaways Bitcoin and altcoins plunge amid growing economic uncertainty. Market reactions remain tepid as the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve will not involve new government purchases for now. Share this article Fears of a looming recession, coupled with escalating trade tensions between the US and Canada, triggered Bitcoin price drops and altcoin sell-offs on Sunday night.

Key Takeaways

  • Bitcoin and altcoins plunge amid growing economic uncertainty.
  • Market reactions remain tepid as the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve will not involve new government purchases for now.

Share this article

Fears of a looming recession, coupled with escalating trade tensions between the US and Canada, triggered Bitcoin price drops and altcoin sell-offs on Sunday night.

Speaking on Fox News’ Sunday Morning Futures, Trump avoided directly addressing recession possibilities in 2025, saying he hated predicting “things like that.” He emphasized his economic policies aim to bring wealth back to America, though the transition may take time.

Trump’s tariffs on imports from countries like Canada, Mexico, and China have been a source of market volatility. Despite this, the US President defended his approach as necessary for achieving his economic goals.

Also on March 9, Mark Carney, a former governor of the Bank of Canada, won the Liberal Party leadership election, replacing Justin Trudeau as Canada’s prime minister.

The new prime minister-elect went off on Trump in his first speech, stating that Trump won’t succeed in his trade war with Canada.

“America is not Canada. And Canada never, ever, will be part of America in any way, shape or form,” Carney said. Trump has repeatedly referred to Trudeau as the “Governor” of Canada, suggesting that Canada would be better off as the 51st U.S. state.

“My government will keep our tariffs on until the Americans show us respect,” he said. Canada has imposed 25% tariffs on US consumer goods in retaliation to Trump’s tariffs.

Bitcoin fell below $81,000 following Carney’s victory, according to CoinGecko data. At press time, BTC recovered slightly above $82,000, down 4% in the last 24 hours.

Market turmoil deepened as Bitcoin declined. Ether and XRP each shed more than 6%, while Dogecoin dropped over 10%.

Other top coins like BNB, Solana, Cardano, and TRON also saw significant losses, while lower-cap tokens such as Injective, Maker, and Render experienced double-digit drops.

The total crypto market capitalization decreased 6% to $2.8 trillion within a day. Leveraged liquidations reached $600 million, with approximately $530 million in long positions eliminated, according to Coinglass data.

The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow model has revised its forecast for the first quarter of 2025, predicting a GDP contraction of 2.4%. This downward revision reflects weaker-than-expected consumer spending and a widening trade deficit, raising concerns about a potential recession.

Market reaction to Trump’s Bitcoin reserve: A mixed bag

The market turbulence continued after Trump’s Thursday executive order establishing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, which initially sparked selling pressure due to limited details about funding beyond existing US-held Bitcoin.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Friday that discussions are underway about additional BTC acquisitions, but the first step is to halt the sale of seized Bitcoin.

He also noted that while the current focus is on Bitcoin, the broader strategy is to establish a comprehensive crypto reserve.

While some analysts view the reserve’s creation as formal recognition of Bitcoin’s role as a strategic asset, positioning it alongside traditional reserves like gold, this recognition has not translated into immediate market confidence.

Crypto community members also had mixed reactions to the White House Crypto Summit held after the executive order.

Speaking at the event, Chainlink co-founder Sergey Nazarov expressed optimism that US officials are now actively engaging with the blockchain and crypto industry, which he believes could help the country stay at the forefront of financial innovation.

“Me and other people in the room do believe that the crypto, blockchain, Web3 infrastructure is the next iteration of the financial system,” Nazarov said. “And I think that the US should have its leadership position continue in that new financial system.”

Multicoin Capital managing partner Kyle Samani also viewed the event positively, labeling it a “historic moment” for crypto.

In contrast, Coin Bureau CEO Nic Puckrin and Bitcoin maximalist Justin Bechler expressed disappointment, questioning the summit’s impact and criticizing its approach.

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Bitcoin tends to outperform gold and stocks after global shocks, Mercado Bitcoin finds

Markets Share Share this article Copy link X icon X (Twitter) LinkedIn Facebook Email Bitcoin tends to outperform gold and stocks after global shocks, Mercado Bitcoin finds The study analyzed 60-day windows after economic or geopolitical shocks and found that Bitcoin posted stronger returns than gold and the S&P 500 in each period. By Francisco

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Bitcoin tends to outperform gold and stocks after global shocks, Mercado Bitcoin finds

The study analyzed 60-day windows after economic or geopolitical shocks and found that Bitcoin posted stronger returns than gold and the S&P 500 in each period.

By Francisco Rodrigues|Edited by Aoyon Ashraf
Apr 4, 2026, 6:56 p.m.
Make preferred on
Stock trading charts. (

What to know:

  • A study by Mercado Bitcoin found that bitcoin tends to outperform traditional safe-haven assets like gold in the 2 months following major global crises.
  • The study analyzed 60-day windows after economic or geopolitical shocks and found that bitcoin posted stronger returns than gold and the S&P 500 in each period.
  • Despite its volatility, bitcoin has consistently bounced back after crises and has been the best-performing asset of the past decade, according to the study’s author, Rony Szuster.

Bitcoin tends to outperform traditional safe haven assets like gold in the two months following major global crises, according to new analysis from Brazilian crypto exchange Mercado Bitcoin.

The study, led by Rony Szuster, head of research at the Latin American crypto platform, examined 60-day windows after economic or geopolitical shocks such as the COVID-19 outbreak and U.S. tariff escalations. Bitcoin posted stronger returns than both gold and the S&P 500 in each of the periods analyzed.

In April last year, after the Trump administration announced sweeping tariffs, the price of bitcoin jumped 24% over the following 60 days. Gold rose 8%, and the S&P 500 gained 4%, the firm found.

A similar pattern emerged at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020, when BTC rose 21%, while the other assets trailed.

(Mercado Bitcoin)

Szuster cautioned that judging bitcoin’s performance too soon after a crisis can be misleading.

“It’s like watching the first few minutes of a movie and thinking you already know how it ends,” he said. “In moments like this, investors sell positions to reduce risk or raise cash, and even defensive assets can fall.”

That happens as investors scramble for liquidity, yet bitcoin has consistently bounced back, the firm found. The pattern appears to be repeating in the current U.S.-Iran conflict, where bitcoin is the only one of the three assets in positive territory so far, according to Szuster.

Data backs this up. Since the war started, bitcoin has risen by more than 2.2%, from around $65,800 to $67,300 at the time of writing. Gold, the traditional safe haven, has meanwhile dropped around 11%, while the S&P lost 4.4% of its value in the index’s steepest monthly drop since 2022.

Despite its volatility, bitcoin was the best-performing asset over the past decade, he added.

Read more: Bitcoin’s recent crash to $60,000 warned stocks first – now they’re following

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